Decision Support and Forecasting Center CEMI RAS

 

 

 

 

Information Resources

 

Real Foreign Exchange Rate and Russian Economy Dynamics

 

 

Data provided in  EXCEL. Data parameters:

  • frequency: quarterly

  • Data Base format: EXCEL

  • Dimension: each variable in separate column, Matrix 78x39

  • Data Updating: 2-nd Quarter, 2013


Variables:
1.
Name: GDP
Description: real GDP (at constant prices), % of Quarter 1, 1994 =100%
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation

2.
Name: Ind
Description: real industrial production output (at constant prices), % of Quarter 1, 1995 = 100%
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation

3.
Name: Agro
Description: real agricultural production output (at constant prices), % of Quarter 1, 1993 = 100%
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation

4.
Name: Transpo
Description: commercial freight turnover, bln. ton-km
Observations: 1995(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation

5.
Name: Constru
Description: real volume of construction and installation (at constant prices), % of Quarter 1, 1993 = 100%
Observations: 1999(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation

6.
Name: Retail
Description: real retail trade turnover (at constant prices), % of Quarter 1, 1994 = 100%
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation

7.
Name: Import
Description: total import, bln. US dollars
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation

8.
Name: CPI
Description: consumer price index, % of previous period
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation

9.
Name: PPI
Description: industrial producer prices, % of previous period
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation

10.
Name: Inv
Description: real fixed capital investments (at constant prices), % of Quarter 1, 1993 = 100%
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation

11.
Name: Wage
Description: accrued average monthly nominal wages per employee, rubles
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation

12.
Name: Income
Description: money income (average per capita), rubles
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation

13.
Name: pcum
Description: pcum = pcum(-1) * CPI / 100: base consumer price index
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation, Center

14.
Name: rwage
Description: rwage = Wage / pcum: real wages
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation, Center


15.
Name: rinc
Description: rinc = Income / pcum: real money income (average per capita)
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation, Center

16.
Name: E
Description: nominal exchange rate of US dollar against ruble
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Bank of Russia

17.
Name: Eur
Description: nominal exchange rate of EURO against ruble
Observations: 1999(1)-2013(2)
Source: Bank of Russia

18.
Name: woil
Description: export contract price of crude oil, US dollars per 1 metric ton
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation

19.
Name: Unemp
Description: total number of unemployed, mln. person
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation

20.
Name: PEL
Description: prices of electricity to ultimate customers, % of previous period
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation


21.
Name: pcel
Description: pcel = pcel (-1) * PEL / 100: base index of prices of electricity to ultimate customers
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation, Center

22.
Name: rmon
Description: rmon = pcel / pcum: real (deflated) prices of electricity to ultimate customers
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation, Center

23.
Name: pi
Description: pi = CPI / 100 - 1: consumer inflation rate
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Federal State Statistic Service of Russian Federation, Center


24.
Name: eps
Description: eps = E / E (-1) -1: index of nominal exchange rate of US dollar against ruble, rate
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Bank of Russia, Center

25.
Name: rer
Description: real effective exchange rate of ruble
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Bank of Russia

26.
Name: er
Description: real exchange rate of ruble against US dollar
Observations: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Bank of Russia


27.
Name: s2001p2
Description: dummy variable (the effect of Tax Legislation reforms in Russia)
Description: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Center

28.
Name: Seas
Description: seasonal dummy variables
Description: 1994(1)-2013(2)
Source: Center
 

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Contact information:
Professor Boris Brodsky, CEMI RAS t.: (499)-1291122 fax: (499)1291122 brodsky@cemi.rssi.ru