Decision Support and Forecasting Center CEMI RAS

 

 

 

About US

News

Projects

Theory and Methodology

Models

Monitoring

Analytics

Forecasts

Our Lectures

Information Resources

Useful Links

Contacts

 

Russian

 

 

 

 

Decision Support and Forecasting Center
CEMI RAS

 

The center was open in 2005 by the initiative of Academician V.L.Makarov and Professor S.A.Aivazyan with the purpose to create the adequate scientific image of CEMI RAS (Central Economics and Mathematics Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences) and to provide the interface between the scientific research in CEMI RAS and the Russian and worldwide scientific community in economics and applied mathematics. The potential audience includes researches and teachers of economics and applied mathematics in Russia, Europe and North America who are interested in applied and theoretical aspects of the Russian economy and current trends in methodology of econometric research and macroeconomic modeling, as well as in short-term, middle-term, and long-term forecasts of the Russian economy. The Center is also open for a wide range of practitioners and employees from the Government institutions of Russia busy with various problems of economic policy. The ultimate goal of the Decision Support Center is to provide methodological, theoretical, and practical support for the economic decision making, i.e. for the choice of instruments of macroeconomic policy, for forecasting of short-term and middle-term consequences of this policy, and for the search of alternatives in economic decision making. The main characteristic feature of all research of the Decision Support Center is the “open code” principle which requires full and open exposition of theoretical foundations of all practical instruments of economic research (models, forecasts, etc.) and active interaction with our clients (interactive versions of econometric models, alternative forecasts, etc.). We strive to support the independent economic thought in Russia, open and non-conformist opinions and discussions of various themes concerning the Russian and world economy.

Contact information:
Professor Boris Brodsky
CEMI RAS
t.: (499)-1291122
fax: (499)1291122
brodsky@cemi.rssi.ru

According to the above goals, the output-tree of the Center has the following form:
 

 

 























 

 

Projects

 

Results of completed scientific research projects carried out in CEMI RAS.

 

  • Economic Regions of Russia

  • Quality of Life

  • Sectors and Branches of the Russian Economy

  • Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasts

  • CPI and PPI Inflation in Russia: analysis of main components

 

 

Theory and Methodology

 

Electronic publications in the main trends of the economic and econometric theory and methodology originated and completed in CEMI RAS

 

  • Macroeconomic modeling

  • Critics of the Russian reforms

  • Russian enterprises: the microeconomic context

  • Econometric theory and practice

  • Optimisation theory and computation methods

  • Institutional economics

 

 

Models

 

Descriptions and interactive versions of the series of econometric and CGE models of the Russian economy created in CEMI RAS and specifically in the Decision Support Center.

 

Econometric models:

 

  • Macroeconometric model of Russia: the CEF (computer-aided economic forecasting) version

  • Inflation and price indicators in Russia: the CEF (computer-aided economic forecasting) version

  • Analysis of  the CPI components in Russia: the interactive model

  • A small-scale macroeconomic model of Russia: the interactive version

  • The large-scale macroeconomic model of Russia: the interactive version

 

CGE models:

 

  • CGE model of the Russian Federation (RUSEC)

  • CGE model: Russia – Federal regions

  • CGE model: RUSEC- Gasprom

  • CGE model: RUSEC- infrastructural monopolies

  • CGE model: RUSEC- political parties

 

Information Resources

 

Information resources (databases of the main macroeconomic and regional indicators of Russia and other countries) of the Center.

 

Monitorings

Monitorings of the current trends of the main macroeconomic indicators of Russia

 

Analytics

 

Analytical studies of different sectors and aspects of the Russian economy carried out with the help of  models and information resources of the Decision Support Center.

 

SWOT Analysis

 

This section is devoted to the SWOT  (strengths-weaknesses-opportunities-trends)  analysis of the middle-term and long-term prospects of the Russian economy

 

Forecasting

Middle-term and long-term forecasts of the Russian economy designed with the help of  models and information resources of the Decision Support Center.

 

 

 

Contact information:
Professor Boris Brodsky, CEMI RAS t.: (499)-1291122 fax: (499)1291122 brodsky@cemi.rssi.ru